Musings on Fekete and Rothbard
by Nelson Hultberg
September 27, 2005
We live in a watershed era of history today. The ideological tides
that govern the acts of men are sweeping America toward titanic events
that will, in the upcoming years, end our world as we know it. It
is with this backdrop in mind that one needs to approach the Fekete
/ Rothbard debate on gold and real bills. To the average layman,
such esoteric concerns as "bills of exchange," "gold redemption," and "fractional
reserves" are drab and boring. The real beef of life is tied up in
Wall Street trading, fighting corrupt solons of the Potomac, and
defending our country.
This, however, is a mistake. Real bills and gold are not esoteric
irrelevancies that we can safely ignore, and they are certainly not "barbarous
relics" that went out of fashion with hoop skirts and Victorian manners
(as Keynesians so obtusely believe). They are of paramount importance
to a sound monetary system, without which freedom and civilization
cannot exist. The arguments and counter-arguments during the past
several months of the Gold / Real Bills Debate are akin to the ancient
Socratic debates in Athens whereby the thinking men of the city would
probe the great issues of their existence, such as freedom, justice,
economy, war, etc. Gold and real bills are in that class of importance.
The Fundamental Misunderstanding
The passions of this debate have arisen because of a fundamental
misunderstanding about real bills and their necessity for the sound
operation of a monetary system. The Real Bills Doctrine is condemned
emphatically by most pundits in the modern era because these pundits
have failed to see that there were two totally different doctrines
that evolved intellectually during the 18th and 19th centuries. I
alluded to this in a recent article, The
Money Fallacies of Rothbard.
The two distinct doctrines were Adam Smith's RBD and the Inflationist
RBD. Smith mandated gold convertibility and free-market banking,
while the Inflationists embraced irredeemable paper notes and government
managed banking. These two doctrines were as different as a winged
eagle and a rooting hog. Smith's version was capable of flying;
the Inflationist version was from the start corrupted with irrationality
and doomed to disaster.
To understand this crucial distinction (and other vital aspects
of this debate) it is mandatory to read Real
Bills: an Emergent Market Phenomenon, by Bill Koures. He explains
very clearly that what today's pundits are attacking as the "Real
Bills Doctrine" is a government managed doctrine of irredeemable
paper instruments masquerading as real bills. As long as this terrible
confusion prevails, all well-meaning pundits will continue to miss
the powerful efficacy of Smith's original doctrine and why it is
so important to the restoration of gold as money. Naturally Rothbardians
remain impervious to this confusion because they need a strawman
to flog in order to try and convey to their readers that they are
on the right side of the debate?
Dr. Koures' paper is destined to become a benchmark analysis of
this great monetary issue, which all opponents must now confront
and which all advocates must thoroughly study. It is a brilliant
theoretical refutation of the Rothbard position -- rigorously scientific
in form, yet accessible to the educated layman.
Fractional-Reserve Banking
Another source of the vehemence in this debate lies in the policy
of fractional-reserve banking. Rothbardians and 100% gold advocates
justifiably abhor this policy. And we in the Fekete camp do likewise.
Fractional-reserve banking has, throughout the past 300 years, been
the vehicle for a myriad of economic booms and busts, egregious paper
issuance, and horrific wars funded by venal governments and kings.
But it is a mistake to condemn the policy itself as fraudulent.
There are many fraudulent aspects of fractional-reserve banking that
need to be purged from our monetary system, but it is neither rational,
nor legally proper to condemn the policy itself as fraudulent. In
other words, it is not wise to throw the baby out with the bathwater.
Because the Rothbardians make this mistake, they mislead all who
are seeking to understand how banking should be constructed.
If we are to conclude then that certain forms of fractional-reserve
banking are permissible, what are they, and why are they permissible?
To start with, everyone accepts that a banker is justified in loaning
out time deposits, i.e., CDs, as long as the bankers' loans
are kept within the maturity parameters of the CDs. In this way bankers
do not succumb to the cardinal sin of "borrowing short to loan long." Time
deposit loans are thus permissible and not a form of fractional-reserve
banking. The dilemma of free-market banking, however, is how to keep
bankers from loaning out demand deposits irresponsibly and
thus borrowing short to loan long.
Rothbardians say it cannot be done, and thus it should not be attempted.
Period. In fact, they go so far as to declare that any such attempt
is fraud. Thus their advocacy of 100% gold reserve banking. Bankers
simply cannot be allowed to loan demand deposits for any reason on
any kind of security. In contrast to such rigidity, Fekete's position
is that,
"Demand deposits can only be 'loaned out' on the security of real
bills [i.e., utilized to discount such bills]. In this case
the bank is not engaged in a lending but a clearing operation, so
the matter of borrowing short and lending long does not arise. This
is not sophistry; the reality of the case is that the bank is backed
up by a bill market that would discount a maturing bill that the
bank may have to sell in a hurry to meet unusual demand for gold
coins against its deposit liabilities. Real bills are the BEST AND
MOST LIQUID EARNING ASSET THAT A BANK CAN HAVE. They can be liquidated
pretty well without a loss. There are always other banks around that
scramble for liquid earning assets as they have an excess of gold
on hand. Besides, on average one ninetieth of the bill portfolio
of a bank should reach maturity every day, which should normally
suffice to meet the demand for gold." [Email to this writer September
20, 2005.]
It is thus the existence of this vast and liquid "bill market" (to
which any banker can go to sell portions of the real bills in his
portfolio for gold coins) that negates the danger of using
demand deposits to discount real bills for merchants. In this way,
if a banker runs short of gold reserves to meet certain depositors'
requests, he merely enters the bill market and liquidates a portion
of his bill portfolio for gold coins. Since real bills mature into
gold in 90 days and are backed by real goods in urgent demand, there
are always buyers for such bills. A banker can quickly convert them
to gold, for they are earning assets that are considered to
be "as good as gold."
Fekete goes on to say:
"Neither is the bank committing fraud by issuing bank notes on the
security of real bills. A bank note is not the same as a gold certificate:
it does not say that there is gold on deposit in the amount of face
value which is payable to bearer on demand. It does say that it promises
to pay the face value to bearer on demand, but that is not the same
thing, so there is no fraud. The bank puts its reputation on the
line that it will be able to meet its promise to pay, because its
portfolio of assets are liquid and the bill market is backing up
its promises." [Ibid.]
The banker then is not representing to the public that he holds
an equivalent amount of gold in his vault to match the notes he issues
in discounting real bills from merchants. He is simply saying that
he will pay the value of the note in gold because he knows that if
he runs short in his vault, he can obtain what he needs from the
bill market itself.
The Mistake of Pure Rationalism
The above two points -- 1) failure to grasp that the "government
managed bills doctrine" is most emphatically NOT the "real bills
doctrine," and 2) refusal to accept that the discounting of real
bills with demand deposits is NOT fraudulent -- are what doom the
Rothbardians to the briar patch of irrationality in which they have
tangled themselves.
What causes this incomprehension on their part? In my opinion, it
stems from their embrace of pure rationalism as their intellectual
methodology, which stifles their discovery of truth. This means that
the Rothbardian system has been spun out of a chain of deductive
logic that has not been matched up to the real world to see if it
is workable.
Every pure rationalist from the ancient Greek world, to Descartes
of the 17th century, to Rand and Rothbard of the modern day has ended
up with a false view of things. Pure rationalism (i.e., the use of a
priori reason alone to validate an idea or system of ideas as
truth) can never capture the real reality. One needs to blend in
the other two intellectual methodologies of "experience" and "intuition." Those
thinkers who can accomplish this synthesis of reason, experience,
and intuition are always the great contributors to human intellectual
progress. Such a synthesis stems from what philosophers call the illative
sense. And those thinkers with the most highly developed illative
senses are the one's who, in the end, discover the truth. All pure
rationalists, pure empiricists, and pure intuitionists at best end
up with flawed systems of thought, and at worst, end up deluding
their fellow men into chasing dangerous utopian nostrums. History
is littered with examples of these types of channeled thinkers.
The true scientist always strives to measure his theories against
actual events in reality to see how his theories hold up. He establishes
working models to test his hypotheses. He measures the efficacy of
his conclusions through the use of both replicable experience (empiricism)
and non-replicable experience (history).
The problem with pure rationalism is that if its fundamental axiom
upon which it starts is falsely drawn, then everything that comes
afterwards is false also. But its process of deductive logic cannot
demonstrate when one's fundamental axiom has been falsely drawn because
all fundamental axioms are "self-evident" or "intuited." Therefore
in order to really "know" the truth, we must be willing to step outside
the chain of deductive logic which pure rationalism relies upon and
match our theories against reality to see how they would fare in
the real world. In other words, we must use replicable and non-replicable
experience to test our theories. We must conduct empirical observation
and historical study. We must try and fathom if our a priori web
of conclusions can be practically applied to actual humans in real
life.
Have the Rothbardians done this? No, they haven't, which is why
they missed the essential truth of "real bills." They failed to grasp
that real bills are a market phenomenon rather than a banker's contrivance,
that such bills helped to lead us from the Middle Ages through the
Renaissance to modern economies, that credit is comprised of two
different forms (clearing and conventional) rather than monolithic,
that the two credit forms are governed by different propensities
(to spend and to save), and that the discount rate is separate from
the interest rate. All these truths were discovered by Antal Fekete
because he astutely made use of the experience of history and doggedly
did the investigative spade work to reinforce the theoretical deductions
churning through his mind from the axioms he had intuitively formed.
The great free-market economist, Henry Hazlitt, wrote on this flaw
in the Rothbardian approach several decades ago: "When Rothbard wanders
out of the strictly economic realm...he is misled by his epistemological
doctrine of 'extreme apriorism' into trying to substitute his own
instant jurisprudence for the common law principles built up through
generations of human experience." [Review of Man, Economy, and
State for National Review, 1962.]
In light of Rothbard's irrational gold theories, it appears that
even in the economic realm, he was capable of becoming misled by
his "extreme apriorism."
The philosopher, John Hospers (a former colleague of Ayn Rand),
also wrote about this problem that afflicts numerous thinkers in
the freedom movement: "Libertarians need to be reminded of John Stuart
Mill's famous statement that what is held to be true in theory but
is not applicable in practice, is not acceptable even in theory." [Freedom
and Virtue, George W. Carey, ed., University Press, 1984, p.
69.]
The Open Forum vs. Hermetically Sealed Cults
Any theory put forth by any thinker, if it is to be a truly scientific
endeavor, must be submitted in such a way that it can be proven to
be untrue. This is what is called the falsification process.
All theories must adhere to this process, or they are automatically
discredited as unscientific. This was one of the major black marks
against Marxist thought from the beginning. It was presented in such
a way that it could not be falsified. When logic demonstrated the
irrationality of Marx's theories, his followers would reply that
the opponents of Marxism were using "bourgeois logic," which was
inferior to "proletarian logic." Thus Marxists always had an out
that they could use to resist the rigor of logical analysis.
This is the nature of unscientific intellectuals. They tend to seek
ways to avoid the falsification process. Another way they do this
is to develop hermetically sealed cults and rigidly police the tenor
of the ideas that are permitted for discussion. Radically dissenting
thought that casts doubt upon the fundamental premises of the cult
is prohibited up front, and if by chance it is able to sneak into
the active interchange of the cult, it is quickly purged. Protection
of the established canon is the goal of all cults; not the discovery
of truth. Cults do not admit this, of course. Their members subconsciously
suppress it. But it is the fundamental characteristic of all cults.
They become hermetically sealed organizations that oppose the vital falsification
process in regards to the body of thought they espouse.
In addition, cults always attack those who oppose them with ad hominem
smears. Ridicule rather than reason is far too often their tool of
disputation. This is the way the Randians policed their Objectivist
cult back in the sixties? They declared all those who poked holes
in Rand's reasoning to be "whim worshipers" and "social metaphysicians." They
sneered churlishly at critics as some kind of contemptible anti-humans
rather than calmly counter their arguments with reason in a responsible
and rigorous manner.
The communists under Lenin did the same thing in building their
movement. Those who sought clarity and exposed contradictions in
the theoretical underpinnings of Marxism were smeared as "criminal
deviationists" and viciously ostracized.
Unfortunately this type of vilification has become the methodology
of many of the followers of Rothbard today. Such a rancorous and
rigid "circle the wagons" form of thinking can never build a philosophical
movement capable of sweeping the world and ushering in a restoration
of freedom. If we are to find our way out of the prison of tyrannical
ideologies that shaped the 20th century and which is now threatening
to plunge us into a high-tech dark ages, then we will have to accept
the fact that we as humans -- even giant cerebral humans such as
Mises -- do not have a corner on the truth! We must never allow ourselves
to ossify our proselytizations into a sacred canon with gatekeepers
to exclude ideas dangerous to it. We must build an Open Forum in
the tradition of Socrates 2400 years ago. It is only in this way
that a free America can be saved.
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