You're Trapped in a Box Canyon
Stupid!
By Wayne N Krautkramer
A recent article by a financial writer asked the question, "When
will Atlas Shrug?" The writer appears to be assuming that Atlas Shrugging
means an immediate total collapse. That is not the way a socialist
industrial system fails. Socialist industrial systems fail incrementally.
Each subsystem fails, and a temporary patch is applied. First, the
roads and bridges deteriorate; then the power, the water, and finally,
the food distribution systems malfunction. The usual next step is
the establishment of a Blue Ribbon Committee to study the problem
There can be no solution, for that would require a focus and investment
that a socialist system cannot generate. The never ending claims
for increased social spending, and the continuing appeasement of
all real and imagined inequities, preclude the option of addressing
a major industrial system's malfunction. Machinery and infrastructure
have no votes. Politicians only serve the voters, for reelection
is their only priority. This continual decline is marked by the increasing
calls for tolerance, and a lethargic acceptance of the new reality.
After all, the good old days are gone, aren't they?
The last 40 years in the US has been an interesting study in group
suicide. The late 1950's to the early 1960's was the climax of large
scale capital investment in the public sector. The interstate highway
system was completed. The policies of the New Deal had confiscated
too much energy (resources) from the private sector. The economy
was slowing down. Harold Geneen, the CEO of I.T.T., created the multinational
corporation. His rationale was simple. He saw no way that the modern
socialist systems of the West could solve the coming crisis. Harold
Geneen was correct. He knew that their socialist policies were the
cause of the problem; therefore, they would be incapable of solving
the problem. The mid 1960's revealed the creation of the Vietnam
conflict, as the US government became more desperate to hide its
continuing failures. Lyndon Johnson announced the Great Society in
1964. On January 8, 1965, LBJ declared that the "unconditional" War
On Poverty had begun. LBJ then proceeded to create the Medicare/
Medicaid programs on July 30, 1965. LBJ's grand finale occurred on
January 13.1966 with the creation of the US Department of Housing
and Urban Development Act. This became the umbrella for Fannie Mae,
Ginnie Mae, Freddie Mac, Sallie Mae, and the FHA. August 15, 1971
was the day that Richard Nixon repudiated the last US dollar link
to gold, and 1972 brought us Nixon stating that "We are all Keynesians
now". Nineteen seventy-four ushered in the Employee Retirement Income
Security Act. This extension of government power occurred under the "conservative" Richard
Nixon. The capstone of the socialist onslaught occurred in 1978,
a gift from Jimmy Carter. This was the passage of the Humphrey-Hawkins
Full Employment Act. America's most underrated economist, Peter Ferdinand
Drucker, had predicted all of this in his prescient book, The End
of Economic Man (The Rise of Totalitarianism). This brilliant insight
into the future of the West was written in 1939.
We should view this progression as nothing more than a continuation
of the tax and spend strategies of FDR. Roosevelt was a master of
dissembling. Students of political science hold FDR in awe. All employed
politicians religiously follow the blueprint that FDR created. Bill
Clinton recently stated that he considered FDR to be the greatest
American of the last century. No politician leaves the formula. Why
should they? The voters have continuously rewarded the socialist
agenda by returning these politicians to office. The public worshiped
FDR even as he ordered them slaughtered on foreign soil. FDR was
(and still is) heralded as the American savior even though unemployment
continued to climb through
most of his presidencies It was only when we started selling arms
to the warring parties in Europe (1938-1939) that the economy showed
any signs of recovery. LBJ knew what Americans will tolerate . Ronald
Reagan created more government offices, a new executive agency, and
ran the US from the largest creditor nation in the world into the
largest debtor in the world. He is still hailed as a tough conservative,
and the man who held government back. The formula worked again. Ronald
Reagan just packaged it differently. Everybody is a marketing manager
in the modern socialist countries. Substance is now a historical
curiosity.
We now witnessed 40 years of the Great Society, so an audit would
not be unreasonable. The "unconditional" War On Poverty has turned
into one of the greatest frauds of all time. Poverty has not been
eradicated, but billions of dollars have been funneled into the friends
and families of the bureaucrats. Food stamps are the unofficial currency
of Puerto Rico, and WIC
stores are now springing up everywhere in the US. Fannie Mae,
Ginnie Mae, and the FHA are a total disaster. The Federal Reserve
is totally committed to pumping up the equity markets to avoid the
possibility of a bailout of the pension system. Alan Greenspan recently
testified that he has real problems with the liabilities of the GSE's.
Government Sponsored Enterprises include Fannie Mae, Ginnie Mae,
Sallie Mae, etc. The government has implemented the Full Employment
Act, and has turned the US into a service worker paradise. The premise
that the government can create jobs is true. The problem is that
the government cannot create productive jobs. What would Congress
and it's entourage of lobbyists know about productive work? We no
longer produce goods. It is an economic fact that the production
of goods creates wealth through operating leverage. Service industries
are inherently inflationary, because there is an equal amount of
labor required for every incremental unit of service provided. There
are no wealthy service economies. The big problem is tax revenue.
How can low paying service jobs generate the taxes required to pay
for all the social services they use? We witness the absurd spectacle
of service workers receiving social services from government workers
who are paid three to five times more than the services workers are
paid! Will somebody please explain this logically? Government workers
produce nothing except more government workers! We are trapped in
a circle with no exit.
The Social Security pyramid scheme
has hit the wall. The pyramid is disappearing. There will soon be
more people collecting benefits than there are people working. The Social
Security Fund never existed. The trust fund fiction was created
by FDR to defeat the program's critics. The one variable that might
give the system more time, is the fact that you have no legal
right to Social Security. Keynesian economics, and socialist
central planning, have trapped the Western economies into a slow
death. The true US government debt has been estimated to be 82 trillion
dollars. Should this socialist delusion continue, we will have to
start computing the National Debt in googols. Googols represent very
large numbers. Naturally, the government will announce the conversion
to googols as a major cost saving measure. All those very big numbers
will be reduced to a few googols. The government will save on forms,
and computer data storage space. Once the politicians find out that
less trees are being cut down as a result of the conversion to googols,
the new numbers base will be heralded as a brilliant environmental
decision. We are talking about Nobel prizes, and KBE's from the Queen
of England! This could warrant the establishment of a new government
agency! The government will claim that the new agency will actually
be free because it will be funded with the savings from the conversion
to googols. It may run a little over budget, but no plan is perfect.
Of course, how would one know if they were over budget using googols?
The obvious question is where do we go from here? Dick Stoken, a
veteran commodity trader and a very astute observer of the markets
and the economy, made an interesting argument in his first book,
Cycles (1978). Stoken said that all modern societies have washed
away their debts with inflation (debasement of the currency). This
would seem like the obvious move for the socialist governments at
this time. As Shakespeare said, "Ay, there's the rub". We have to
deal with the probability that the past will extrapolate in a linear
way into the future. We may be confronted with a discontinuous event,
which defines a major change in trend. We are witnessing the largest
inter generational wealth transfer scheme in history. We are trying
to shift our financial obligations onto the next group of workers.
Do we really believe that these new workers are this stupid? Why
should they be impoverished by paying their elder's bills?The most
bizarre part is the fact that the most of elders will dead when these
younger workers get the bill for this lunacy! Will they support a
government that has enslaved them financially? Would you? Should
you wish to revert to legalisms about their duties, The Declaration
of Independence will help you to understand their inalienable
rights.
When will Atlas Shrug? Atlas has not only shrugged, he has sold
his real estate at the top, and is now ensconced in Thailand, China,
India, the Baltic States, and anywhere else that has economic freedom.
Corporations are fleeing the US as if there were vampires here. Corporations
are aware of the differences in the value systems of different countries,
and are acting rationally by leaving the US for environments that
are more" producer friendly". We should remember that the American
value system was once very producer friendly. Calvin Coolidge was
the President from 1923 till 1929. Coolidge said, "After
all, the chief business of the American people is business". There
is a very serious disease in the US. It is highly contagious, usually
fatal, and requires extreme measures to stop its spread. It is the
ultimate biological weapon. It slowly destroys entire societies.
All of the nation's creative energies are utilized in working the
system, whether it be for handicapped privileges, or for increases
in the particular entitlement they are currently receiving. Slowly,
the economy has changed from production to parasitism. Collectivism
makes Ebola look like a Christmas present.
Free Markets For Free Men!
Wayne N Krautkramer
http://onlypill.blogdrive.com/